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UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Middleweight
VS
55%
Boetsch
45%
Henderson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:28
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
6'0"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
DH
Dan Henderson
"Hendo"
32 – 15
Well-Rounded55 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Dan HendersonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:28
def. Tim Boetsch · UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Boetsch
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Boetsch at 55% vs Henderson at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Henderson has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BoetschHenderson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Boetsch
Henderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
45+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Henderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
13.8
46.0
Performance Avg
49.5
43
Quality of Victory
49
69
Momentum Score
20
Boetsch
Henderson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground8
Boetsch
Henderson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Henderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
18/47 fights
Boetsch
Henderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Boetsch
Henderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
44%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boetsch
Henderson
Striking6.8 / 5.4Volume4.3 / 5.4Grappling1.0 / 1.3Wrestling0.7 / 0.9Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Boetsch
Strike Zones
Henderson
Boetsch
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Henderson
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Henderson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Boetsch
RND
Henderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Henderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.2W4.2W5.5L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W5.5L1998-052009-012013-112015-112016-10
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

Henderson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R2
Hector LombardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Tim Boetsch · Dan Henderson
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