UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Houston, USA
7 Aug 2021
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Aldo
50%
Munhoz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldo
This is a genuine toss-up — Aldo at 50% vs Munhoz at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Munhoz throws more volume but Aldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Aldo
Munhoz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
65"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Munhoz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
44.0
53.6
Performance Avg
46.2
49
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
43
Aldo
Munhoz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
8
11
Body
0
7
Leg
6
RangeRange
47Distance12
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Aldo
Munhoz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldo
Munhoz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
22/30 fights
Aldo
Munhoz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Aldo
Munhoz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Munhoz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
AldoMunhoz
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedMunhoz
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (62% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Munhoz targets the head (57% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Munhoz
0/0R00/0
Aldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Munhoz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Munhoz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 6.2Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 6.3Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Upcoming
Sean O'MalleyUFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

