UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Kimball
51%
Stosic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:13
JK
Jeremy Kimball
15 – 8
6'0"72" reachSwitch35 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
DS
Darko Stosic
13 – 4
Knockout Artist3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stosic

This is a genuine toss-up — Kimball at 49% vs Stosic at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Kimball has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kimball's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kimball
Stosic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kimball
Stosic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.1
46.0
Performance Avg
46.0
60
Quality of Victory
60
43
Momentum Score
29
Kimball
Stosic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
0
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Kimball
Stosic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Kimball
Stosic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Kimball
Stosic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
29
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Kimball
Stosic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kimball
Stosic
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume0.5 / 0.5Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Kimball
Strike Zones
Stosic
Kimball
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Stosic
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kimball targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Stosic absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Stosic targets the head (89% of attacks) — Kimball absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kimball
RND
Stosic
0/0R00/0

Kimball · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0102.1L5.0W2.5L1.5L2017-012017-062017-122018-07
WinLossTrend

Stosic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.0W5.5L6.8L6.8L2018-072019-062019-082020-01
WinLossTrend

Kimball · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Darko StosicRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
Submission
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Josh StansburyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01

Stosic · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jamahal HillRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Jeremy KimballRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07

News & Media

Jeremy Kimball · Darko Stosic
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