UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Struve
47%
Rosholt
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Struve
This is a genuine toss-up — Struve at 53% vs Rosholt at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Struve has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Struve has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Struve
Rosholt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'2"
84"+
Reach
75"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Rosholt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
18.0
51.7
Performance Avg
47.5
50
Quality of Victory
29
98
Momentum Score
75
Struve
Rosholt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
2
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance4
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Struve
Rosholt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Rosholt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Struve
Rosholt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Struve
Rosholt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
17%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Struve
Rosholt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.2
StruveRosholt
Strike Zones
Struve
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedRosholt
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the head (78% of attacks) — Rosholt absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Rosholt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Struve
RND
Rosholt
0/0R00/0
Struve · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Rosholt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Rosholt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Roy NelsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 4.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
W · KO · R3
Josh CopelandRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11