UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2023
Middleweight
VS
61%
Park
39%
Tiuliulin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Park
Park holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Tiuliulin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tiuliulin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Tiuliulin throws more volume but Park connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Park's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tiuliulin has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Park
Tiuliulin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+77"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Park
Tiuliulin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
36.6
47.9
Performance Avg
39.7
34
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
20
Park
Tiuliulin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
4
1
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance8
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Park
Tiuliulin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Park
Tiuliulin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
30
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Park
Tiuliulin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Park
Tiuliulin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Park
Tiuliulin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
ParkTiuliulin
Strike Zones
Park
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTiuliulin
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Park targets the head (80% of attacks) — Tiuliulin absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Tiuliulin targets the head (50% of attacks) — Park absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Park
RND
Tiuliulin
0/0R00/0
Park · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Tiuliulin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Park · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ikram AliskerovRating 7.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Albert DuraevRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
Tiuliulin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sedriques DumasRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
JunYong ParkRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Jamie PickettRating 5.2KO/TKO
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