UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Lightweight
VS
26%
Riddell
74%
Turner
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turner
Turner is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Striking split: Turner throws more volume but Riddell connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Riddell
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+77"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Riddell
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
59.7
37.9
Performance Avg
56.4
25
Quality of Victory
56
50
Momentum Score
65
Riddell
Turner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
3.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Riddell
Turner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Riddell
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Riddell
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddell
Turner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
RiddellTurner
Strike Zones
Riddell
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTurner
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the head (33% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddell
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
Riddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Turner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07