UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Bantamweight
VS
51%
Yan
49%
Yadong
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yan
This is a genuine toss-up — Yan at 51% vs Yadong at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Yan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Yan
Yadong
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
33
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Yan
Yadong
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.1
61.9
56.4
Performance Avg
54.6
44
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
83
Yan
Yadong
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
30
6
Body
4
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance34
3Clinch1
4Ground0
Yan
Yadong
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yan
Yadong
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/25 fights
Chin rating based on
17/31 fights
Yan
Yadong
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
83
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Yan
Yadong
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yan
Yadong
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
YanYadong
Strike Zones
Yan
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedYadong
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yan targets the head (78% of attacks) — Yadong absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Yadong targets the head (86% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yan
RND
Yadong
0/0R00/0
Yan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Yadong · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Yan · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
Yadong · Last 5
Upcoming
Deiveson FigueiredoUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R5
Chris GutierrezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

