UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2
Killeen, USA
22 Jan 2011
Welterweight
VS
80%
Brenneman
20%
Alves
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brenneman
Brenneman is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brenneman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Brenneman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brenneman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brenneman
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
45
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brenneman
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
2.4
29.5
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Brenneman
Alves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Brenneman
Alves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brenneman
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Brenneman
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Brenneman
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brenneman
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BrennemanAlves
Strike Zones
Brenneman
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAlves
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brenneman targets the body (60% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brenneman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brenneman
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
Brenneman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Brenneman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Leandro SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Danny CastilloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
Alves · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Mike PierceRating 4Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08