UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Milwaukee, USA
15 Dec 2018
Middleweight
VS
51%
Meerschaert
49%
Hermansson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Meerschaert
This is a genuine toss-up — Meerschaert at 51% vs Hermansson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Meerschaert's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hermansson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Meerschaert
Hermansson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
38
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Meerschaert
Hermansson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.7
53.8
48.2
Performance Avg
48.1
50
Quality of Victory
42
91
Momentum Score
97
Meerschaert
Hermansson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
37
1
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch2
0Ground38
Meerschaert
Hermansson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
7.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
5.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Meerschaert
Hermansson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/59 fights
Chin rating based on
19/34 fights
Meerschaert
Hermansson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
97
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Meerschaert
Hermansson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
11
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Meerschaert
Hermansson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
7.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
5.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
9.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MeerschaertHermansson
Strike Zones
Meerschaert
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedHermansson
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Meerschaert targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hermansson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Meerschaert
RND
Hermansson
0/0R00/0
Meerschaert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Hermansson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

