UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Middleweight
VS
49%
Sell
51%
Baroni
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Baroni
This is a genuine toss-up — Sell at 49% vs Baroni at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Baroni has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Baroni has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sell's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Baroni has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sell
Baroni
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sell
Baroni
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.4
13.1
32.4
Performance Avg
41.5
35
Quality of Victory
49
50
Momentum Score
10
Sell
Baroni
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sell
Baroni
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sell
Baroni
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/33 fights
Sell
Baroni
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
10
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Sell
Baroni
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sell
Baroni
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
SellBaroni
Strike Zones
Sell
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBaroni
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sell targets the head (67% of attacks) — Baroni absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Baroni targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sell absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sell
RND
Baroni
0/0R00/0
Sell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Baroni · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Sell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · KO · R3
Nate QuarryRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · KO · R2
Scott SmithRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
Baroni · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brad TavaresRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 5.5Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R3
Pete SellRating 4Submission
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · Dec · R3
Evan TannerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R1
Evan TannerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11