METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Featherweight
VS
51%
Caceres
49%
Choi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:31
★ Official Result
Alex CacereswinsSubmissionR2 · 3:31
def. SeungWoo Choi · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caceres
→
Actual result
Caceres wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Caceres at 51% vs Choi at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Choi has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaceresChoi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Caceres
Choi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
38
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Caceres
Choi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
38.5
42.2
Performance Avg
34.8
34
Quality of Victory
34
76
Momentum Score
69
Caceres
Choi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
4
Body
9
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance11
6Clinch3
0Ground0
Caceres
Choi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Caceres
Choi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Caceres
Choi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Caceres
Choi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caceres
Choi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
CaceresChoi
Strike Zones
Caceres
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedChoi
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (59% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Choi targets the body (64% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caceres
RND
Choi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Choi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
Choi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Michael TrizanoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh CulibaoRating 5.8Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06