UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Featherweight
VS
51%
Caceres
49%
Choi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:31
Alex
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
2115
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
SeungWoo
SeungWoo Choi
"Sting"
118
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Caceres

This is a genuine toss-up — Caceres at 51% vs Choi at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Choi has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Caceres
Choi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Caceres
Choi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
38.5
42.2
Performance Avg
34.8
34
Quality of Victory
34
76
Momentum Score
69
Caceres
Choi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
4
Body
9
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance11
6Clinch3
0Ground0
Caceres
Choi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Caceres
Choi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Caceres
Choi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Caceres
Choi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Caceres
Choi
Striking1.7 / 3.2Volume6.1 / 6.7Grappling3.5 / 1.8Wrestling2.5 / 1.3Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 2.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Caceres
Strike Zones
Choi
Caceres
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD9BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Choi
Attacking
5HEAD9BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (59% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Choi targets the body (64% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Caceres
RND
Choi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Caceres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W7.1L2.8L4.2W5.5L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.5W5.4W6.3L5.2W5.4W6.5L6.6L2011-032014-072017-112022-032024-05
WinLossTrend

Choi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0106.8L4.0L4.5W5.5W5.2W3.0L5.8L1.5L4.5W3.4L3.6L2019-042021-022022-062024-072025-03
WinLossTrend

Caceres · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

Choi · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Michael TrizanoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh CulibaoRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06

News & Media

Alex Caceres · SeungWoo Choi
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