UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
88%
Hardy
12%
Walker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hardy
Hardy is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hardy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Hardy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
64"
Reach
+67"
30+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Hardy
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
5.9
38.5
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Hardy
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
31%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
6
0
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Hardy
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Hardy
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Hardy
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HardyWalker
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedWalker
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (79% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the head (86% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brogan WalkerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Juliana MillerRating 4.7Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Walker · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · KO · R3
Juliana MillerRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08