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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
88%
Hardy
12%
Walker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Veronica
Veronica Hardy
105
5'4"64" reachSouthpaw30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Brogan
Brogan Walker
"The Bear"
85
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsSwitch67" reach5'4"
CFR 6
★ Official Result
Veronica HardywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brogan Walker · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hardy
Actual result
Hardy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Hardy is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hardy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Risk flags

Hardy's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HardyWalker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hardy
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
64"
Reach
+67"
30+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Hardy
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
5.9
38.5
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Hardy
Walker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.4
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
6
0
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Hardy
Walker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Hardy
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Hardy
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hardy
Walker
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume7.4 / 0.0Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.5 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure2.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hardy
Strike Zones
Walker
Hardy
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Walker
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (79% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the head (86% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hardy
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hardy · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Brogan Walker
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda Moura
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
JJ Aldrich
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Juliana Miller
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Walker · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Veronica Hardy
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin Lucindo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · KO · R3
Juliana Miller
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08

News & Media

Veronica Hardy · Brogan Walker
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