★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Flyweight
VS
39%
Benavidez
61%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Benavidez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Benavidez
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"
Reach
+66"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
25.2
51.4
Performance Avg
69.9
38
Quality of Victory
58
40
Momentum Score
85
Benavidez
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
37%
Strike Accuracy
58%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
1
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance10
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Benavidez
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Benavidez
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Benavidez
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
47%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
5
9
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benavidez
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
BenavidezJohnson
Strike Zones
Benavidez
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (80% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benavidez
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Benavidez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Benavidez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgRating 5.5Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottRating 4.6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04