The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Las Vegas, USA
21 Jun 2008
Middleweight
VS
75%
McFedries
25%
Eastman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:08
DM
Drew McFedries
"The Massacre"
12 – 7
6'0"72" reachSouthpaw47 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 20
ME
Marvin Eastman
"The Beastman"
18 – 15
Well-Rounded54 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'9"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McFedries

McFedries is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

McFedries has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McFedries's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Eastman has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

McFedries
Eastman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+73"
47+
Age
54
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McFedries
Eastman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.3
6.7
53.8
Performance Avg
23.0
60
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
15
McFedries
Eastman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
0.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
30%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
15Clinch3
1Ground0
McFedries
Eastman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McFedries
Eastman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
12
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/33 fights
McFedries
Eastman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
15
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
McFedries
Eastman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McFedries
Eastman
Striking10.0 / 0.4Volume0.9 / 8.4Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.3 / 0.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
McFedries
Strike Zones
Eastman
McFedries
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Eastman
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McFedries targets the head (79% of attacks) — Eastman absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Eastman targets the head (100% of attacks) — McFedries absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McFedries
RND
Eastman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

McFedries · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0105.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L1.5L5.0W2.8L2006-112008-012008-102009-09
WinLossTrend

Eastman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.6
0101.5L2.8L2.8L4.5W1.5L2003-062004-102007-022008-022008-06
WinLossTrend

McFedries · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06

Eastman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Drew McFedriesRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Terry MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · KO · R2
Quinton JacksonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · KO · R2
Travis LutterRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 50: The War Of '04 · 2004-10
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06

News & Media

Drew McFedries · Marvin Eastman
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