METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Las Vegas, USA
21 Jun 2008
Middleweight
VS
75%
McFedries
25%
Eastman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:08
★ Official Result
Drew McFedrieswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:08
def. Marvin Eastman · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McFedries
→
Actual result
McFedries wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
McFedries is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
McFedries's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Eastman has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McFedriesEastman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McFedries
Eastman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+73"
48+
Age
55
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McFedries
Eastman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.3
6.7
53.8
Performance Avg
23.0
60
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
15
McFedries
Eastman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
0.6
0.9
Style: Volume
8.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
15Clinch3
1Ground0
McFedries
Eastman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McFedries
Eastman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
12
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/33 fights
McFedries
Eastman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
15
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
McFedries
Eastman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McFedries
Eastman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
McFedriesEastman
Strike Zones
McFedries
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedEastman
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McFedries targets the head (79% of attacks) — Eastman absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Eastman targets the head (100% of attacks) — McFedries absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McFedries
RND
Eastman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McFedries · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalSubmission
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W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamKO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesSubmission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
Eastman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Drew McFedriesKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Terry MartinDecision
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · KO · R2
Quinton JacksonKO/TKO
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · KO · R2
Travis LutterKO/TKO
UFC 50: The War Of '04 · 2004-10
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortKO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06