The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Las Vegas, USA
21 Jun 2008
Middleweight
VS
45%
Grove
55%
Tanner
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tanner
This is a genuine toss-up — Grove at 45% vs Tanner at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tanner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Grove's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tanner has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Grove
Tanner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
43+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grove
Tanner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
21.9
53.6
Performance Avg
57.1
53
Quality of Victory
52
52
Momentum Score
93
Grove
Tanner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
64%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
8
5
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance5
11Clinch9
0Ground0
Grove
Tanner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grove
Tanner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/40 fights
Chin rating based on
17/40 fights
Grove
Tanner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
93
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Grove
Tanner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
73%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grove
Tanner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
GroveTanner
Strike Zones
Grove
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTanner
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grove targets the head (72% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Tanner targets the head (57% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grove
RND
Tanner
0/0R00/0
Grove · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Tanner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Grove · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R1
Jake RosholtRating 5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
Tanner · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Sub · R1
Justin LevensRating 5Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David LoiseauRating 4.8UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich FranklinRating 5.1UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06