UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Jacoby
46%
Jr.
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jacoby
This is a genuine toss-up — Jacoby at 54% vs Jr. at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jr. has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jacoby
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jacoby
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
53.7
53.8
Performance Avg
52.0
48
Quality of Victory
48
91
Momentum Score
77
Jacoby
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
18
10
Body
8
10
Leg
4
RangeRange
43Distance26
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Jacoby
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/31 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Jacoby
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
77
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Jacoby
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
70%
7
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
JacobyJr.
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedJr.
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (57% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the head (60% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
Jacoby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jacoby · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2KO/TKO
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Jr. · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
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