METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
12 Oct 2024
Lightweight
VS
56%
Dawson
44%
Garcia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:42
★ Official Result
Grant DawsonwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:42
def. Rafa Garcia · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dawson
→
Actual result
Dawson wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dawson at 56% vs Garcia at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Dawson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DawsonGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dawson
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
70"
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Dawson
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.1
50.6
57.5
Performance Avg
44.7
39
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
75
Dawson
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
3.9
5.0
Style: Volume
7.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
21Ground0
Dawson
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dawson
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Dawson
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Dawson
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dawson
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
DawsonGarcia
Strike Zones
Dawson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dawson targets the head (92% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dawson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dawson
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Dawson · Last 5
Upcoming
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Garcia · Last 5
Upcoming
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