UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Natal, Brazil
23 Mar 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Maldonado
54%
Villante
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FM
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
23 – 11
6'1"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
GV
Gian Villante
17 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Villante

This is a genuine toss-up — Maldonado at 46% vs Villante at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maldonado's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Villante has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maldonado
Villante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
46
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maldonado
Villante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
20.4
39.8
Performance Avg
40.8
36
Quality of Victory
42
81
Momentum Score
33
Maldonado
Villante
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.4
63%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
58
Head
2
13
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
70Distance4
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Maldonado
Villante
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maldonado
Villante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Maldonado
Villante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Maldonado
Villante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maldonado
Villante
Striking4.9 / 6.5Volume5.7 / 4.2Grappling1.4 / 1.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Maldonado
Strike Zones
Villante
Maldonado
Attacking
58HEAD13BODY1LEGS72 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Villante
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
58HEAD13BODY1LEGS72 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maldonado targets the head (81% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Villante targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maldonado
RND
Villante
0/0R00/0

Maldonado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5L5.5L5.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L5.2W5.5L5.5L2010-102012-102014-032015-042015-11
WinLossTrend

Villante · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.7W2.5L4.0L5.5L3.8L2013-042015-072017-072020-062021-11
WinLossTrend

Maldonado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

News & Media

Fabio Maldonado · Gian Villante
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