METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Natal, Brazil
23 Mar 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Maldonado
54%
Villante
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FM
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
2311
6'1"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
GV
Gian Villante
1714
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Fabio MaldonadowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gian Villante · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Villante
Actual result
Maldonado wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Maldonado at 46% vs Villante at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Maldonado's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Villante has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MaldonadoVillante
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Maldonado
Villante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
46
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maldonado
Villante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
20.4
39.8
Performance Avg
40.8
36
Quality of Victory
42
81
Momentum Score
33
Maldonado
Villante
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
5.2
5.7
Style: Volume
4.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
58
Head
2
13
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
70Distance4
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Maldonado
Villante
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maldonado
Villante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Maldonado
Villante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Maldonado
Villante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maldonado
Villante
Striking4.9 / 6.5Volume5.7 / 4.2Grappling1.4 / 1.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Maldonado
Strike Zones
Villante
Maldonado
Attacking
58HEAD13BODY1LEGS72 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Villante
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
58HEAD13BODY1LEGS72 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maldonado targets the head (81% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Villante targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maldonado
RND
Villante
0/0R00/0

Maldonado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey Anderson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton Jackson
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans Stringer
KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe Miocic
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian Villante
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris Barnett
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake Collier
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice Greene
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal Oleksiejczuk
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed Herman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

News & Media

Fabio Maldonado · Gian Villante
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