UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Featherweight
VS
51%
Fili
49%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andre
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25 – 13
5'11"74" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Christian
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
12 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fili

This is a genuine toss-up — Fili at 51% vs Rodriguez at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Fili's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Fili
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
71"
35
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fili
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
46.2
42.0
Performance Avg
40.7
35
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
64
Fili
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.9
37%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
19
3
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
17Distance14
2Clinch11
0Ground0
Fili
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fili
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/38 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Fili
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
64
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Fili
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fili
Rodriguez
Striking4.1 / 1.1Volume6.6 / 7.5Grappling1.7 / 3.5Wrestling1.2 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.7 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Fili
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Fili
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY5LEGS25 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY5LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fili targets the head (79% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (76% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fili
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0

Fili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.2W5.1L4.5W1.5L5.2W4.3L4.5W6.0L4.5W4.5W5.6L4.5W5.0W6.3L5.3W6.5L3.1L4.7W6.3L5.1W2.2L5.0W2.7L5.1W7.0L2013-102017-072020-062024-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0L5.0W6.1W5.5W5.8W1.7L5.9W6.7L6.2L2022-022023-102025-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Fili · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

Rodriguez · Last 5

Upcoming
Hyder Amil
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin BashiRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Sub · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Andre Fili · Christian Rodriguez
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