METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Nashville, USA
8 Aug 2015
Middleweight
VS
64%
Brunson
36%
Alvey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:19
★ Official Result
Derek BrunsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:19
def. Sam Alvey · UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brunson
→
Actual result
Brunson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Brunson holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Alvey has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Alvey connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrunsonAlvey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brunson
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Brunson
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
22.9
54.7
Performance Avg
44.3
47
Quality of Victory
45
72
Momentum Score
43
Brunson
Alvey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
2
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
19Clinch2
1Ground0
Brunson
Alvey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brunson
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Brunson
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Brunson
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brunson
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
BrunsonAlvey
Strike Zones
Brunson
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (96% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brunson
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
Brunson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Alvey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Brunson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10