UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Nashville, USA
8 Aug 2015
Middleweight
VS
64%
Brunson
36%
Alvey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:19
DB
Derek Brunson
"The One"
23 – 9
6'1"77" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
SA
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33 – 18
Well-Rounded8-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brunson

Brunson holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Alvey has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Alvey connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Brunson
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Brunson
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
22.9
54.7
Performance Avg
44.3
47
Quality of Victory
45
72
Momentum Score
43
Brunson
Alvey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
2
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
19Clinch2
1Ground0
Brunson
Alvey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brunson
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Brunson
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Brunson
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brunson
Alvey
Striking6.3 / 5.9Volume4.2 / 4.1Grappling2.0 / 1.8Wrestling1.4 / 1.2Submission1.4 / 1.0Pressure6.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Brunson
Strike Zones
Alvey
Brunson
Attacking
26HEAD1BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Alvey
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD1BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (96% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brunson
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0

Brunson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.4L5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L2.9L4.5W4.5W6.9W5.1W5.2W3.7L4.7L2012-122016-022018-012021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Alvey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W1.8L5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.4W4.5W2.8L3.0L5.5L5.9L3.3L5.5L4.1L2.5L2014-082016-072017-102020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

News & Media

Derek Brunson · Sam Alvey
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