The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
52%
Lauzon
48%
Dunham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JL
Joe Lauzon
28 – 16
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
ED
Evan Dunham
18 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lauzon

This is a genuine toss-up — Lauzon at 52% vs Dunham at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Lauzon connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lauzon
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lauzon
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
16.2
51.5
Performance Avg
40.1
49
Quality of Victory
30
59
Momentum Score
100
Lauzon
Dunham
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
40
1
Body
8
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance43
1Clinch9
0Ground0
Lauzon
Dunham
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Lauzon
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Lauzon
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
18%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lauzon
Dunham
Striking4.4 / 2.0Volume2.2 / 6.9Grappling4.0 / 2.5Wrestling2.8 / 1.7Submission4.7 / 0.9Pressure7.3 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Lauzon
Strike Zones
Dunham
Lauzon
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
40HEAD8BODY4LEGS52 absorbed
Dunham
Attacking
40HEAD8BODY4LEGS52 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (80% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (77% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lauzon
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0

Lauzon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.8W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W5.9L5.6L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.9L4.5W5.5L2.0L2.8L5.5W2006-092010-082013-082016-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Dunham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.2W5.5L4.5W5.7L2.8L2.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W1.5L2.8L1.9L2009-022011-012013-052015-122020-06
WinLossTrend

Lauzon · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Dunham · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil Dariush
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09

News & Media

Joe Lauzon · Evan Dunham
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