METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
52%
Lauzon
48%
Dunham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Evan DunhamwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Lauzon · The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lauzon
→
Actual result
Dunham wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lauzon at 52% vs Dunham at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Lauzon connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LauzonDunham
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lauzon
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lauzon
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
16.2
51.5
Performance Avg
40.1
49
Quality of Victory
30
59
Momentum Score
100
Lauzon
Dunham
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
40
1
Body
8
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance43
1Clinch9
0Ground0
Lauzon
Dunham
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Lauzon
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Lauzon
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
18%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lauzon
Dunham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
LauzonDunham
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedDunham
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (80% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (77% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lauzon
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09