UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
48%
Pennington
52%
Andrade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Raquel
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16 – 10
5'7"67" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Andrade

This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 48% vs Andrade at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pennington
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'1"
67"+
Reach
62"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
51.0
46.8
Performance Avg
49.4
32
Quality of Victory
45
80
Momentum Score
79
Pennington
Andrade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
3.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
24
9
Body
8
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance16
15Clinch17
6Ground0
Pennington
Andrade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Pennington
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
79
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Pennington
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pennington
Andrade
Striking1.4 / 4.7Volume7.5 / 4.9Grappling3.7 / 2.5Wrestling2.6 / 1.8Submission2.3 / 1.8Pressure3.7 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Pennington
Strike Zones
Andrade
Pennington
Attacking
28HEAD9BODY3LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD8BODY1LEGS33 absorbed
Andrade
Attacking
24HEAD8BODY1LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD9BODY3LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (70% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (73% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pennington
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L6.0W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.2L6.7L5.3W5.6L4.5W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.9W5.1W7.0L2013-112016-042019-072022-042024-10
WinLossTrend

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Raquel Pennington · Jessica Andrade
← Back to fights