UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2022
Catch Weight
VS
41%
Wright
59%
Barriault
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:36
JW
CFR 25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barriault
This is a genuine toss-up — Wright at 41% vs Barriault at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Barriault throws more volume but Wright connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Wright's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barriault has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wright
Barriault
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wright
Barriault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
35.6
38.4
Performance Avg
41.9
45
Quality of Victory
45
13
Momentum Score
13
Wright
Barriault
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.5
60%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
4
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
4Clinch9
2Ground2
Wright
Barriault
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wright
Barriault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Wright
Barriault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
13
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Wright
Barriault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wright
Barriault
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
WrightBarriault
Strike Zones
Wright
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedBarriault
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wright targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Barriault targets the head (85% of attacks) — Wright absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wright
RND
Barriault
0/0R00/0
Wright · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Barriault · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Wright · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zac PaugaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Jamie PickettRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Barriault · Last 5
Upcoming
Brad TavaresUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5KO/TKO
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