UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Chicago, USA
16 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
52%
Cannonier
48%
Page
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cannonier
This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 52% vs Page at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cannonier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Cannonier throws more volume but Page connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannonier
Page
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
+79"
42
Age
+39
Switch
Stance
Switch
Cannonier
Page
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
50.2
49.3
Performance Avg
47.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
82
Momentum Score
70
Cannonier
Page
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
59%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Cannonier
Page
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Page
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Cannonier
Page
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
70
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cannonier
Page
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cannonier
Page
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.6
CannonierPage
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPage
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (88% of attacks) — Page absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Page targets the head (71% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cannonier
RND
Page
0/0R00/0
Cannonier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Page · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Page · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Sam PattersonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared CannonierRating 5.5Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03