METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Chicago, USA
16 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
51%
Cannonier
49%
Page
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael PagewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jared Cannonier · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cannonier
→
Actual result
Page wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 51% vs Page at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cannonier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Cannonier's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CannonierPage
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cannonier
Page
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
+79"
42
Age
+39
Switch
Stance
Switch
Cannonier
Page
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.5
50.9
48.2
Performance Avg
48.3
46
Quality of Victory
25
82
Momentum Score
70
Cannonier
Page
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
2.5
4.0
Style: Volume
9.7
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Cannonier
Page
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Page
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Cannonier
Page
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cannonier
Page
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cannonier
Page
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.7
CannonierPage
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPage
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (88% of attacks) — Page absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Page targets the head (71% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cannonier
RND
Page
0/0R00/0
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Page · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Sam PattersonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared CannonierDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06