METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 1
Las Vegas, USA
6 Aug 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Bonnar
49%
Hoger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stephan BonnarwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Hoger · UFC Fight Night 1
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bonnar
→
Actual result
Bonnar wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bonnar at 51% vs Hoger at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bonnar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bonnar's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BonnarHoger
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bonnar
Hoger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
79"
Reach
49
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonnar
Hoger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
16.0
45.2
Performance Avg
38.3
40
Quality of Victory
37
48
Momentum Score
50
Bonnar
Hoger
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
22%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Bonnar
Hoger
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonnar
Hoger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Bonnar
Hoger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bonnar
Hoger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonnar
Hoger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
BonnarHoger
Strike Zones
Bonnar
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHoger
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonnar targets the head (93% of attacks) — Hoger absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Hoger targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonnar
RND
Hoger
0/0R00/0
Bonnar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hoger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Bonnar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Hoger · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeff NewtonRating 5.2Submission
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
Bobby SouthworthRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04