METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
London, United Kingdom
21 Feb 2009
Middleweight
VS
72%
Maia
28%
Sonnen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:37
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:37
def. Chael Sonnen · UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Maia is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sonnen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sonnen has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaSonnen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Sonnen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+73"
48+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Maia
Sonnen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
12.8
50.8
Performance Avg
40.4
40
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
45
Maia
Sonnen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Maia
Sonnen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Sonnen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
14/44 fights
Maia
Sonnen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Maia
Sonnen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Sonnen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
MaiaSonnen
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSonnen
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (83% of attacks) — Sonnen absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Sonnen targets the head (63% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Sonnen
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Sonnen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Sonnen · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rashad EvansRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01