UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Natal, Brazil
23 Mar 2014
Featherweight
VS
60%
Jason
40%
Siler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jason
Jason holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Siler has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Siler throws more volume but Jason connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Jason
Siler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
73"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jason
Siler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
15.5
60.4
Performance Avg
44.9
67
Quality of Victory
38
72
Momentum Score
36
Jason
Siler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
0
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
3Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Jason
Siler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jason
Siler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/45 fights
Jason
Siler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jason
Siler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jason
Siler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
JasonSiler
Strike Zones
Jason
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSiler
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jason targets the head (100% of attacks) — Siler absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Siler targets the head (45% of attacks) — Jason absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jason
RND
Siler
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jason · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Siler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Jason · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Upcoming
Damon JacksonUFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Siler · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Rony JasonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · KO · R1
Mike BrownRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5Decision
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