UFC 75: Champion vs Champion
London, United Kingdom
8 Sept 2007
Lightweight
VS
45%
Tibau
55%
Etim
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Etim
This is a genuine toss-up — Tibau at 45% vs Etim at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Etim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Tibau throws more volume but Etim connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Etim has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tibau
Etim
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tibau
Etim
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
19.1
43.2
Performance Avg
50.5
34
Quality of Victory
48
74
Momentum Score
58
Tibau
Etim
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
35%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
0Distance10
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Tibau
Etim
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.7
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tibau
Etim
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Tibau
Etim
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
58
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Tibau
Etim
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
4
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tibau
Etim
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
TibauEtim
Strike Zones
Tibau
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedEtim
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (91% of attacks) — Etim absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Etim targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tibau
RND
Etim
0/0R00/0
Tibau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Etim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Tibau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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Etim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renee ForteRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Edward FaalolotoRating 5Submission
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L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9Submission
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W · Sub · R2
Shannon GugertyRating 5.2Submission
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