UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns
Bay St. Louis, USA
5 Mar 1999
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Randleman
58%
Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 2 · 3:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Smith
This is a genuine toss-up — Randleman at 42% vs Smith at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Randleman's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Randleman
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
54+
Age
64
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Randleman
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
21.2
42.0
Performance Avg
53.4
32
Quality of Victory
51
70
Momentum Score
76
Randleman
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
0.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
75%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Randleman
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Randleman
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Randleman
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
76
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R2
L · Dec · R3
Randleman
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Randleman
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
RandlemanSmith
Strike Zones
Randleman
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSmith
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Randleman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (50% of attacks) — Randleman absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Randleman
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
Randleman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Randleman · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Renato SobralRating 4.5Decision
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
L · KO · R3
Randy CoutureRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 28: High Stakes · 2000-11
W · Dec · R5
Pedro RizzoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06
W · Dec · R5
Pete WilliamsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 23: Ultimate Japan 2 · 1999-11
Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renato SobralRating 5.5Decision
UFC 28: High Stakes · 2000-11
W · Dec · R3
Bobby HoffmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
W · KO · R1
Marco RuasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
L · Dec · R2
Kevin RandlemanRating 4.8Decision
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
L · Dec · R3
Randy CoutureRating 5.5Decision
UFC - Ultimate Japan · 1997-12