UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2007
Welterweight
VS
91%
Cummo
9%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:45
LC
Luke Cummo
6 – 6
6'0"74" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 16
Ed
Edilberto de Oliveira
"Crocota"
29 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cummo

Cummo is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cummo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.

Cummo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oliveira has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cummo
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cummo
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
1.6
45.1
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
Cummo
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
30%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Cummo
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cummo
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/44 fights
Cummo
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Cummo
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cummo
Oliveira
Striking7.5 / 0.0Volume3.5 / 0.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Cummo
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Cummo
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cummo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Cummo absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cummo
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cummo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5L2005-112006-062007-092008-08
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0104.0L1.5L2007-042007-09
WinLossTrend

Cummo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
L · Dec · R3
Luigi FioravantiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · KO · R1
Edilberto de OliveiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · KO · R2
Josh HaynesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan GouletRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 5 · 2006-06

Oliveira · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Luke CummoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
L · KO · R3
Paul TaylorRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04

News & Media

Luke Cummo · Edilberto de Oliveira
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