UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Lins
42%
Grishin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Philipe
Philipe Lins
"Monstro"
18 – 5
6'2"78" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 48
MG
Maxim Grishin
"Maximus"
32 – 10
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lins

This is a genuine toss-up — Lins at 58% vs Grishin at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lins throws more volume but Grishin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Lins
Grishin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lins
Grishin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.2
34.9
46.9
Performance Avg
40.0
34
Quality of Victory
40
83
Momentum Score
48
Lins
Grishin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
4
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance7
3Clinch4
0Ground0
Lins
Grishin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lins
Grishin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/42 fights
Lins
Grishin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
48
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Lins
Grishin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lins
Grishin
Striking3.8 / 5.8Volume7.3 / 4.8Grappling1.8 / 1.2Wrestling1.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Lins
Strike Zones
Grishin
Lins
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Grishin
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lins targets the head (63% of attacks) — Grishin absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Grishin targets the head (73% of attacks) — Lins absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lins
RND
Grishin
0/0R00/0

Lins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.2L2.1L4.9W5.6W4.5W4.8W2020-052020-062022-042023-022023-062024-03
WinLossTrend

Grishin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.9L5.2W6.9L4.5W6.2L2020-072020-102021-022022-022023-06
WinLossTrend

Lins · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Maxim GrishinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Tanner BoserRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06

Grishin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Philipe LinsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · KO · R2
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07

News & Media

Philipe Lins · Maxim Grishin
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