UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
10 Apr 2021
Lightweight
VS
36%
Holtzman
64%
Gamrot
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gamrot
Gamrot holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Holtzman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gamrot has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Holtzman throws more volume but Gamrot connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Holtzman's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holtzman
Gamrot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holtzman
Gamrot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.5
57.0
40.6
Performance Avg
52.9
32
Quality of Victory
42
53
Momentum Score
66
Holtzman
Gamrot
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch2
0Ground3
Holtzman
Gamrot
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holtzman
Gamrot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
13/30 fights
Holtzman
Gamrot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Holtzman
Gamrot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holtzman
Gamrot
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
HoltzmanGamrot
Strike Zones
Holtzman
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGamrot
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holtzman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gamrot absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gamrot targets the head (54% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holtzman
RND
Gamrot
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holtzman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gamrot · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Holtzman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R2
Dong Hyun MaRating 4.2UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Gamrot · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.9Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 4.7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03