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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
London, United Kingdom
16 Oct 2010
Welterweight
VS
52%
Hardy
48%
Condit
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:27
DH
Dan Hardy
"The Outlaw"
2510
6'0"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 15
CC
Carlos Condit
"The Natural Born Killer"
3214
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Carlos ConditwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:27
def. Dan Hardy · UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hardy
Actual result
Condit wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 52% vs Condit at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Condit has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Risk flags

Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Condit has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HardyCondit
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hardy
Condit
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Condit
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
14.2
46.0
Performance Avg
47.8
37
Quality of Victory
48
38
Momentum Score
20
Hardy
Condit
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
4.5
6.5
Style: Volume
4.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
0
Body
3
4
Leg
13
RangeRange
9Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Hardy
Condit
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Condit
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
19/46 fights
Hardy
Condit
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
20
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Hardy
Condit
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hardy
Condit
Striking4.5 / 5.4Volume6.5 / 4.5Grappling1.6 / 1.1Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Hardy
Strike Zones
Condit
Hardy
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY13LEGS26 absorbed
Condit
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY13LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (56% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Condit targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hardy
RND
Condit
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hardy · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Amir Sadollah
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane Ludwig
KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris Lytle
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Johnson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos Condit
KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

Condit · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt Brown
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael Chiesa
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex Oliveira
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

News & Media

Dan Hardy · Carlos Condit
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