UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
London, United Kingdom
16 Oct 2010
Welterweight
VS
41%
Hardy
59%
Condit
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:27
DH
Dan Hardy
"The Outlaw"
25 – 10
6'0"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 15
CC
Carlos Condit
"The Natural Born Killer"
32 – 14
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Condit

This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 41% vs Condit at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Condit has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Condit has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Condit has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hardy
Condit
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Condit
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
22.3
46.0
Performance Avg
47.8
37
Quality of Victory
48
38
Momentum Score
20
Hardy
Condit
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
34%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
0
Body
3
4
Leg
13
RangeRange
9Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Hardy
Condit
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Condit
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
19/46 fights
Hardy
Condit
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
20
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Hardy
Condit
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hardy
Condit
Striking4.5 / 5.4Volume6.5 / 4.5Grappling1.6 / 1.1Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Hardy
Strike Zones
Condit
Hardy
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY13LEGS26 absorbed
Condit
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY13LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (56% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Condit targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hardy
RND
Condit
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hardy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L4.0L5.0W4.5W2008-102009-112011-032012-09
WinLossTrend

Condit · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.4W2.8L4.1W5.8L1.5L6.1L2.8L3.5L4.7W4.9W6.1L2009-042012-022015-052018-122021-07
WinLossTrend

Hardy · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris LytleRating 4
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos ConditRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

Condit · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

News & Media

Dan Hardy · Carlos Condit
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