UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Welterweight
VS
54%
Pyle
46%
Waldburger
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:03
MP
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
27 – 14
6'0"74" reachOrthodox50 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
TW
TJ Waldburger
16 – 9
Submission Hunter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pyle

This is a genuine toss-up — Pyle at 54% vs Waldburger at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pyle throws more volume but Waldburger connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pyle's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Waldburger has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pyle
Waldburger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
+75"
50
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pyle
Waldburger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
16.9
47.8
Performance Avg
47.4
45
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
50
Pyle
Waldburger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
8
1
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance10
7Clinch2
19Ground0
Pyle
Waldburger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.6
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pyle
Waldburger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Pyle
Waldburger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Pyle
Waldburger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pyle
Waldburger
Striking6.0 / 1.0Volume3.5 / 3.0Grappling2.3 / 6.6Wrestling1.6 / 4.6Submission2.0 / 7.5Pressure6.5 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Pyle
Strike Zones
Waldburger
Pyle
Attacking
34HEAD1BODY2LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Waldburger
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD1BODY2LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pyle targets the head (92% of attacks) — Waldburger absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Waldburger targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pyle
RND
Waldburger
0/0R00/0

Pyle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.5W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W1.9L5.5W1.5L6.8L5.5W2.8L1.5L1.5L2009-052011-032013-052016-022018-03
WinLossTrend

Waldburger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W1.5L4.0L2010-092011-092012-062013-102014-02
WinLossTrend

Pyle · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Zak OttowRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex GarciaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto MinaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

Waldburger · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike PyleRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R1
Adlan AmagovRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · Sub · R2
Nick CatoneRating 5.2
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jake HechtRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03

News & Media

Mike Pyle · TJ Waldburger
← Back to fights