METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Buenos Aires, Argentina
17 Nov 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Calvillo
45%
Botelho
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:48
★ Official Result
Cynthia CalvillowinsSubmissionR1 · 4:48
def. Poliana Botelho · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Calvillo
→
Actual result
Calvillo wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Calvillo at 55% vs Botelho at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Calvillo throws more volume but Botelho connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Calvillo's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CalvilloBotelho
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Calvillo
Botelho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
64"
Reach
+67"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Calvillo
Botelho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
24.2
42.8
Performance Avg
39.1
38
Quality of Victory
37
25
Momentum Score
54
Calvillo
Botelho
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
11
Body
1
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance5
2Clinch0
11Ground1
Calvillo
Botelho
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Calvillo
Botelho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Calvillo
Botelho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
54
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Calvillo
Botelho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Calvillo
Botelho
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
CalvilloBotelho
Strike Zones
Calvillo
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBotelho
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Calvillo targets the body (50% of attacks) — Botelho absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Botelho targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Calvillo
RND
Botelho
0/0R00/0
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Botelho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
Botelho · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Lauren MuellerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Cynthia CalvilloRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11