Arman Tsarukyan vs Matt Frevola — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

23 Jan 2021

Lightweight

64%

Tsarukyan

36%

Frevola

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Arman Tsarukyan

"Ahalkalakets"

23 – 3

5'7"72" reachOrthodox29 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 68

Matt Frevola

"The SteamRolla"

11 – 6

Striker3-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"

CFR 39

★ Official Result

Arman TsarukyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Matt Frevola · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Tsarukyan

→

Actual result

Tsarukyan wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Tsarukyan holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Frevola has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Frevola has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

TsarukyanFrevola

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Tsarukyan

Frevola

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

+5'9"

72"+

Reach

71"

29+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Tsarukyan

Frevola

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

67.5

38.6

58.4

Performance Avg

45.8

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Tsarukyan

Frevola

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.7

/ 10

6.9

/ 10

6.0

Style: Pressure

5.6

5.7

Style: Volume

4.1

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

13Distance3

1Clinch0

1Ground0

Tsarukyan

Frevola

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.0

/ 10

1.0

/ 10

1.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.7

1.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Tsarukyan

Frevola

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/26 fights

Chin rating based on

12/17 fights

Tsarukyan

Frevola

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R3

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

Tsarukyan

Frevola

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tsarukyan

Frevola

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.9

2.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.0

1.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.7

1.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.6

5.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.1

Tsarukyan

Strike Zones

Frevola

Tsarukyan

Attacking

15 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Frevola

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

15 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Tsarukyan targets the head (53% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 53% of strikes there

🎯Frevola targets the head (67% of attacks) — Tsarukyan absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tsarukyan

RND

Frevola

0/0R00/0

Tsarukyan · Last 5

Upcoming

Mauricio Ruffy

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

W · Sub · R2

Dan Hooker

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Charles Oliveira

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

W · KO · R1

Beneil Dariush

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

W · KO · R3

Joaquim Silva

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Frevola · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Kyle Nelson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

L · KO · R3

Fares Ziam

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

L · KO · R1

Benoit Saint Denis

KO/TKO

UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

W · KO · R1

Drew Dober

KO/TKO

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

W · KO · R1

Ottman Azaitar

KO/TKO

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

News & Media

Arman Tsarukyan · Matt Frevola

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