METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Bangor, USA
16 Aug 2014
Bantamweight
VS
16%
Ticman
84%
Saenz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Frankie SaenzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nolan Ticman · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saenz
→
Actual result
Saenz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Saenz is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Saenz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Ticman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Saenz has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TicmanSaenz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ticman
Saenz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
Reach
66"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ticman
Saenz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
13.7
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
75
Ticman
Saenz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.1
63%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
16
1
Body
3
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch20
0Ground0
Ticman
Saenz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ticman
Saenz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/7 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Ticman
Saenz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ticman
Saenz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ticman
Saenz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
TicmanSaenz
Strike Zones
Ticman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedSaenz
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ticman targets the body (100% of attacks) — Saenz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Saenz targets the head (62% of attacks) — Ticman absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ticman
RND
Saenz
0/0R00/0
Ticman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Saenz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ticman · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Yao ZhikuiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Frankie SaenzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
Saenz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Marlon VeraRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Henry BrionesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Augusto MendesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01