UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Bangor, USA
16 Aug 2014
Bantamweight
VS
16%
Ticman
84%
Saenz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NT
Nolan Ticman
4 – 3
5'6"Orthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 3
FS
Frankie Saenz
13 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Saenz

Saenz is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Saenz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Ticman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Saenz has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ticman
Saenz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
Reach
66"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ticman
Saenz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
13.7
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
75
Ticman
Saenz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
63%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
16
1
Body
3
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch20
0Ground0
Ticman
Saenz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ticman
Saenz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/7 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Ticman
Saenz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ticman
Saenz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ticman
Saenz
Striking0.0 / 1.0Volume0.0 / 9.0Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Ticman
Strike Zones
Saenz
Ticman
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY7LEGS26 absorbed
Saenz
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY7LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ticman targets the body (100% of attacks) — Saenz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Saenz targets the head (62% of attacks) — Ticman absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ticman
RND
Saenz
0/0R00/0

Ticman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2014-082015-05
WinLossTrend

Saenz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.0L5.5L5.8W4.5W2.3L4.5L2014-082015-122017-122020-08
WinLossTrend

Ticman · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Yao ZhikuiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Frankie SaenzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08

Saenz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Marlon VeraRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Henry BrionesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Augusto MendesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

News & Media

Nolan Ticman · Frankie Saenz
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