METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 4
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Evans
51%
Hoger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Hoger · UFC Fight Night 4
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hoger
→
Actual result
Evans wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 49% vs Hoger at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Evans has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansHoger
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Hoger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Hoger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
16.0
53.1
Performance Avg
38.3
46
Quality of Victory
37
25
Momentum Score
50
Evans
Hoger
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
22%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Evans
Hoger
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Hoger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Evans
Hoger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
50
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Evans
Hoger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Hoger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
EvansHoger
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHoger
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hoger targets the head (50% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Hoger
0/0R00/0
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hoger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Hoger · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeff NewtonRating 5.2Submission
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
Bobby SouthworthRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04