UFC Fight Night 4
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Evans
51%
Hoger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
19 – 8
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
SH
Sam Hoger
"The Alaskan Assassin"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hoger

This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 49% vs Hoger at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Evans has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Evans
Hoger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
46
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Hoger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
16.0
53.1
Performance Avg
38.3
46
Quality of Victory
37
25
Momentum Score
50
Evans
Hoger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
22%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Evans
Hoger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Hoger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Evans
Hoger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
50
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Evans
Hoger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Hoger
Striking5.6 / 0.8Volume5.8 / 4.8Grappling1.4 / 5.2Wrestling1.0 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.9 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Evans
Strike Zones
Hoger
Evans
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Hoger
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hoger targets the head (50% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Hoger
0/0R00/0

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Hoger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L2005-042005-082005-112006-042007-02
WinLossTrend

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Hoger · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeff NewtonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
Bobby SouthworthRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Sam Hoger
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