METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 4
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Evans
51%
Hoger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Hoger · UFC Fight Night 4
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hoger
→
Actual result
Evans wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 49% vs Hoger at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansHoger
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Hoger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Hoger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
16.0
53.1
Performance Avg
38.3
46
Quality of Victory
37
25
Momentum Score
50
Evans
Hoger
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
4.7
5.8
Style: Volume
4.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Evans
Hoger
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Hoger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Evans
Hoger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
50
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Evans
Hoger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Hoger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
EvansHoger
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHoger
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hoger targets the head (50% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Hoger
0/0R00/0
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Hoger · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaDecision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansDecision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeff NewtonSubmission
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarDecision
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
Bobby SouthworthDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04