UFC 40: Vendetta
Las Vegas, USA
22 Nov 2002
Light Heavyweight
VS
59%
Liddell
41%
Sobral
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Liddell
This is a genuine toss-up — Liddell at 59% vs Sobral at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Liddell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Liddell throws more volume but Sobral connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Liddell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sobral has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Liddell
Sobral
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
75"
56
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Liddell
Sobral
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.1
15.3
61.2
Performance Avg
49.2
56
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
26
Liddell
Sobral
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
9 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
12Distance10
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Liddell
Sobral
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Liddell
Sobral
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/29 fights
Chin rating based on
10/48 fights
Liddell
Sobral
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Liddell
Sobral
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
67%
9
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Liddell
Sobral
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
LiddellSobral
Strike Zones
Liddell
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSobral
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Liddell targets the head (92% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Sobral targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Liddell absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Liddell
RND
Sobral
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Liddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Sobral · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Liddell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
W · Dec · R3
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Keith JardineRating 5.5Decision
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09
Sobral · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
David HeathRating 5.2Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10