UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
52%
Grasso
48%
Barber
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grasso
This is a genuine toss-up — Grasso at 52% vs Barber at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barber has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Grasso
Barber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
32
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Grasso
Barber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
54.8
52.8
Performance Avg
53.3
45
Quality of Victory
38
84
Momentum Score
65
Grasso
Barber
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
0
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Grasso
Barber
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grasso
Barber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/22 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Grasso
Barber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
65
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Grasso
Barber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grasso
Barber
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
GrassoBarber
Strike Zones
Grasso
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBarber
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grasso targets the head (67% of attacks) — Barber absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Barber targets the head (80% of attacks) — Grasso absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grasso
RND
Barber
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grasso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Barber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Grasso · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Maycee BarberRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Sub · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.7Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Barber · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexa GrassoRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
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