UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Lightweight
VS
59%
Makdessi
41%
Trujillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
18 – 9
5'8"68" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 31
AT
Abel Trujillo
"Killa"
15 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Makdessi

This is a genuine toss-up — Makdessi at 59% vs Trujillo at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Trujillo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Makdessi
Trujillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Trujillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
21.4
42.2
Performance Avg
51.4
34
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
90
Makdessi
Trujillo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
6
Body
2
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Makdessi
Trujillo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Trujillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Makdessi
Trujillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Makdessi
Trujillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makdessi
Trujillo
Striking3.8 / 6.2Volume6.9 / 2.5Grappling1.8 / 1.7Wrestling1.2 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure3.6 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Makdessi
Strike Zones
Trujillo
Makdessi
Attacking
8HEAD6BODY5LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Trujillo
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD6BODY5LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (42% of attacks) — Trujillo absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Trujillo targets the head (69% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makdessi
RND
Trujillo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Makdessi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.8W6.2L5.7L2010-122013-032015-122019-032023-09
WinLossTrend

Trujillo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.5L5.2W5.2W3.3L4.0W5.0W4.5W4.0L5.5L2012-122014-022016-012017-12
WinLossTrend

Makdessi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7
Decision
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Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

Trujillo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Sub · R3
James VickRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RinaldiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tony SimsRating 5
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · R1
Gleison TibauRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11

News & Media

John Makdessi · Abel Trujillo
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