METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Lightweight
VS
59%
Makdessi
41%
Trujillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John MakdessiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Abel Trujillo · UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Makdessi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Makdessi at 59% vs Trujillo at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trujillo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiTrujillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Trujillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Trujillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
21.4
42.2
Performance Avg
51.4
34
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
90
Makdessi
Trujillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
6.5
6.9
Style: Volume
2.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
6
Body
2
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Makdessi
Trujillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Trujillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Makdessi
Trujillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Makdessi
Trujillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Trujillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
MakdessiTrujillo
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTrujillo
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (42% of attacks) — Trujillo absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Trujillo targets the head (69% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Trujillo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makdessi · Last 5
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L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiDecision
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L · Sub · R3
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