METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Lightweight
VS
59%
Makdessi
41%
Trujillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John MakdessiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Abel Trujillo · UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Makdessi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Makdessi at 59% vs Trujillo at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trujillo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiTrujillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Trujillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Trujillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
21.4
42.2
Performance Avg
51.4
34
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
90
Makdessi
Trujillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
6
Body
2
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Makdessi
Trujillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Trujillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Makdessi
Trujillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Makdessi
Trujillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Trujillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
MakdessiTrujillo
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTrujillo
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (42% of attacks) — Trujillo absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Trujillo targets the head (69% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Trujillo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Trujillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Trujillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Sub · R3
James VickRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RinaldiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tony SimsRating 5Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · R1
Gleison TibauRating 4UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11