UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Davis
55%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PD
Phil Davis
"Mr. Wonderful"
17 – 4
6'2"79" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
AJ
Anthony Johnson
"Rumble"
22 – 6
Knockout Artist42 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 45% vs Johnson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Davis
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
78"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
23.1
50.2
Performance Avg
60.4
34
Quality of Victory
55
64
Momentum Score
100
Davis
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
34%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
1
Body
4
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance12
3Clinch2
2Ground0
Davis
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
18
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Davis
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Davis
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
85%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Johnson
Striking1.5 / 9.8Volume6.8 / 2.6Grappling4.3 / 0.4Wrestling3.0 / 0.3Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Davis
Strike Zones
Johnson
Davis
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (64% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.9W5.5L2010-022010-112012-102014-042015-01
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W2.8L5.0W4.0L5.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.4W2.1L2007-062009-022012-012015-092017-04
WinLossTrend

Davis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04

Johnson · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

News & Media

Phil Davis · Anthony Johnson
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