UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jun 2023
Bantamweight
VS
38%
Argueta
62%
Lawrence
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lawrence
Lawrence holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Argueta has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lawrence has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Lawrence has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Argueta
Lawrence
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
68"
32+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Argueta
Lawrence
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.7
41.8
25.0
Performance Avg
49.2
25
Quality of Victory
38
28
Momentum Score
68
Argueta
Lawrence
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
67%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Argueta
Lawrence
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Argueta
Lawrence
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Argueta
Lawrence
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Argueta
Lawrence
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Argueta
Lawrence
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
ArguetaLawrence
Strike Zones
Argueta
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLawrence
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Argueta targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lawrence absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lawrence targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Argueta absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Argueta
RND
Lawrence
0/0R00/0
Argueta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lawrence · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Argueta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody HaddonRating 6.8Decision
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Upcoming
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Upcoming
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UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Nick AguirreRating 4.5Decision
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Lawrence · Last 4
Upcoming
Dan ArguetaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 5.8Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R3
Vince CacheroRating 5.5KO/TKO
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