METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Middleweight
VS
31%
Akhmedov
69%
Cummings
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
OA
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
216
6'0"73" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
ZC
Zak Cummings
257
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak42 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 43
★ Official Result
Omari AkhmedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Zak Cummings · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cummings
Actual result
Akhmedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Cummings holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Akhmedov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Akhmedov's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AkhmedovCummings
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Akhmedov
Cummings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Akhmedov
Cummings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
42.5
47.0
Performance Avg
53.3
36
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
63
Akhmedov
Cummings
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
6.3
6.6
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
2
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Akhmedov
Cummings
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Akhmedov
Cummings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Akhmedov
Cummings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Akhmedov
Cummings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Akhmedov
Cummings
Striking3.5 / 3.4Volume6.6 / 4.6Grappling2.5 / 4.2Wrestling1.7 / 2.9Submission1.1 / 4.0Pressure4.3 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Akhmedov
Strike Zones
Cummings
Akhmedov
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Cummings
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Cummings targets the head (50% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Akhmedov
RND
Cummings
0/0R00/0

Akhmedov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad Tavares
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom Breese
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris Weidman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian Heinisch
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak Cummings
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Ed Herman
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di Chirico
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari Akhmedov
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin Giles
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor Smith
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

News & Media

Omari Akhmedov · Zak Cummings
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