UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2012
Featherweight
VS
4%
Grispi
96%
Yahya
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yahya
Yahya is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yahya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Striking split: Yahya throws more volume but Grispi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Grispi's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yahya has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Grispi
Yahya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
74"+
Reach
67"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grispi
Yahya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.7
42.3
0.0
Performance Avg
50.5
0
Quality of Victory
39
0
Momentum Score
39
Grispi
Yahya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground2
Grispi
Yahya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grispi
Yahya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
48
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
21/40 fights
Grispi
Yahya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Grispi
Yahya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
54%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
7
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grispi
Yahya
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
GrispiYahya
Strike Zones
Grispi
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedYahya
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grispi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Yahya targets the head (67% of attacks) — Grispi absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grispi
RND
Yahya
0/0R00/0
Grispi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Grispi · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Andy OgleRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R3
George RoopRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8Decision
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
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