METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Sterling
55%
Yan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
26 – 5
5'7"71" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Petr
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
20 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak33 yrsSwitch67" reach5'7"
CFR 65
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Petr Yan · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Yan
→
Actual result
Sterling wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 45% vs Yan at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Yan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SterlingYan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sterling
Yan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
67"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
Yan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
65.1
54.2
Performance Avg
56.4
38
Quality of Victory
44
71
Momentum Score
100
Sterling
Yan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
4
Body
6
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance15
2Clinch1
0Ground4
Sterling
Yan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sterling
Yan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
16/25 fights
Sterling
Yan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Sterling
Yan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sterling
Yan
Striking2.7 / 4.8Volume6.5 / 6.8Grappling3.2 / 1.6Wrestling2.3 / 1.1Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Sterling
Strike Zones
Yan
Sterling
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Yan
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Yan targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sterling
RND
Yan
0/0R00/0

Sterling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W5.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.3W4.5W5.0W6.5W5.9W6.0W5.2W6.0W3.6L5.0W6.8L5.9W5.5W2014-022017-042019-062023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Yan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.4W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.0W6.1L6.0W6.5L7.0L6.8L5.8W5.6W6.2W5.8W2018-062019-062021-102024-032025-12
WinLossTrend

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Yan · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

News & Media

Aljamain Sterling · Petr Yan
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