METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Sterling
55%
Yan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
265
5'7"71" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Petr
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
205
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak33 yrsSwitch67" reach5'7"
CFR 65
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Petr Yan · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Yan
Actual result
Sterling wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 45% vs Yan at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SterlingYan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Sterling
Yan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
67"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
Yan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
65.1
54.2
Performance Avg
56.4
38
Quality of Victory
44
71
Momentum Score
100
Sterling
Yan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
4.6
6.5
Style: Volume
6.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
4
Body
6
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance15
2Clinch1
0Ground4
Sterling
Yan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sterling
Yan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Sterling
Yan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Sterling
Yan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sterling
Yan
Striking2.7 / 4.8Volume6.5 / 6.8Grappling3.2 / 1.6Wrestling2.3 / 1.1Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Sterling
Strike Zones
Yan
Sterling
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Yan
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Yan targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sterling
RND
Yan
0/0R00/0

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef Zalal
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian Ortega
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar Evloev
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin Kattar
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'Malley
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Yan · Last 5

Upcoming
Merab Dvalishvili
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Merab Dvalishvili
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGhee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson Figueiredo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song Yadong
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Aljamain Sterling · Petr Yan
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