UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Cincinnati, USA
10 May 2014
Welterweight
VS
25%
Cabral
75%
Cummings
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
YC
Yan Cabral
13 – 3
5'11"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
ZC
Zak Cummings
25 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak41 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cummings

Cummings is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cummings has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Cabral
Cummings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cabral
Cummings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
42.5
38.3
Performance Avg
53.3
37
Quality of Victory
41
30
Momentum Score
63
Cabral
Cummings
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
1.5
28%
Strike Accuracy
39%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
10
0
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground9
Cabral
Cummings
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cabral
Cummings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Cabral
Cummings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cabral
Cummings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cabral
Cummings
Striking0.8 / 3.4Volume4.8 / 4.6Grappling5.2 / 4.2Wrestling3.6 / 2.9Submission5.0 / 4.0Pressure4.7 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Cabral
Strike Zones
Cummings
Cabral
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY3LEGS13 absorbed
Cummings
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY3LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cabral targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Cummings targets the head (77% of attacks) — Cabral absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cabral
RND
Cummings
0/0R00/0

Cabral · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.9L5.2W5.5L4.0L2013-102014-052014-102015-112016-05
WinLossTrend

Cummings · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.8L5.0W4.8W6.0L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.7W5.5L4.5W5.7W2013-082016-042018-052020-082023-04
WinLossTrend

Cabral · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Johnny CaseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · Sub · R2
Naoyuki KotaniRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
David MitchellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12

News & Media

Yan Cabral · Zak Cummings
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