METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Middleweight
VS
62%
Fremd
38%
Pickett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Josh FremdwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jamie Pickett · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fremd
→
Actual result
Fremd wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Fremd holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Pickett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fremd has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Fremd's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FremdPickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fremd
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
+80"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fremd
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.1
20.0
35.7
Performance Avg
23.9
37
Quality of Victory
25
25
Momentum Score
45
Fremd
Pickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
0.7
4.7
Style: Volume
8.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
3
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Fremd
Pickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fremd
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Fremd
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Fremd
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fremd
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.7
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
FremdPickett
Strike Zones
Fremd
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPickett
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fremd targets the body (43% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the head (60% of attacks) — Fremd absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fremd
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
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L · Dec · R3
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