METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Middleweight
VS
58%
Fremd
42%
Pickett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Josh FremdwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jamie Pickett · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fremd
→
Actual result
Fremd wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fremd at 58% vs Pickett at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fremd has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Pickett has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fremd's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FremdPickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fremd
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
+80"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fremd
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.1
24.1
35.7
Performance Avg
23.9
37
Quality of Victory
25
25
Momentum Score
45
Fremd
Pickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
0.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
3
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Fremd
Pickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fremd
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Fremd
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Fremd
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fremd
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.7
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
FremdPickett
Strike Zones
Fremd
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPickett
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fremd targets the body (43% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the head (60% of attacks) — Fremd absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fremd
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
Fremd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Fremd · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R2
Roman KopylovRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Sedriques DumasRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Tresean GoreRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Pickett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Josh FremdRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
Bo NickalRating 3.2Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Denis TiuliulinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02