UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Assuncao
54%
Dillashaw
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RA
Raphael Assuncao
28 – 10
5'5"66" reachOrthodox43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 31
TD
TJ Dillashaw
18 – 5
Striker40 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dillashaw

This is a genuine toss-up — Assuncao at 46% vs Dillashaw at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Dillashaw has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Assuncao's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dillashaw has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Assuncao
Dillashaw
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
+67"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Assuncao
Dillashaw
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.4
36.6
44.2
Performance Avg
62.3
32
Quality of Victory
56
61
Momentum Score
100
Assuncao
Dillashaw
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
1
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance11
0Clinch3
1Ground0
Assuncao
Dillashaw
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Assuncao
Dillashaw
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/38 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Assuncao
Dillashaw
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
100
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Assuncao
Dillashaw
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
62%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Assuncao
Dillashaw
Striking2.9 / 6.8Volume7.3 / 4.5Grappling2.5 / 1.5Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.8 / 0.8Pressure3.6 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Assuncao
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Assuncao
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD7BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Dillashaw
Attacking
7HEAD7BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the head (82% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (50% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Assuncao
RND
Dillashaw
0/0R00/0

Assuncao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W4.6W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L7.0L3.8L3.4L5.4W4.8L2011-032013-102017-062020-062023-03
WinLossTrend

Dillashaw · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.5W5.4W5.5L4.5W4.5W6.2W6.1W3.0L6.0W3.1L2011-122013-102016-012019-012022-10
WinLossTrend

Assuncao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

Dillashaw · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11

News & Media

Raphael Assuncao · TJ Dillashaw
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