METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
26%
Khabilov
74%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Diego FerreirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rustam Khabilov · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ferreira
→
Actual result
Ferreira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ferreira is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ferreira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Ferreira has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KhabilovFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Khabilov
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
73"
Reach
+74"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Khabilov
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
57.1
48.2
Performance Avg
50.5
29
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Khabilov
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
6.3
7.9
Style: Volume
4.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
24
3
Body
8
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance30
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Khabilov
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Khabilov
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
6
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Khabilov
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Khabilov
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
64%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Khabilov
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
KhabilovFerreira
Strike Zones
Khabilov
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Khabilov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (69% of attacks) — Khabilov absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Khabilov
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
Khabilov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoDecision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
Ferreira · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05