UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
27%
Khabilov
73%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RK
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
24 – 4
5'8"73" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Diego
Diego Ferreira
19 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ferreira

Ferreira is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ferreira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Ferreira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Khabilov
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
73"
Reach
+74"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Khabilov
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
55.1
48.2
Performance Avg
50.7
29
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
87
Khabilov
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
24
3
Body
8
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance30
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Khabilov
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Khabilov
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
6
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Khabilov
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
87
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Khabilov
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Khabilov
Ferreira
Striking2.5 / 6.2Volume7.9 / 3.6Grappling1.9 / 2.3Wrestling1.3 / 1.6Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.0 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Khabilov
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Khabilov
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD8BODY3LEGS35 absorbed
Ferreira
Attacking
24HEAD8BODY3LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Khabilov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (69% of attacks) — Khabilov absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Khabilov
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0

Khabilov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W4.0W4.5W3.4L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.5L4.5W2012-122015-022016-122019-11
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.2W6.5L2.8L4.5W5.4W5.3W4.5W4.5W5.2W6.5L2.8L3.8L5.3W6.1W7.0L3.6L2014-062018-022021-022025-012025-09
WinLossTrend

Khabilov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12

Ferreira · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Rustam Khabilov · Diego Ferreira
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